Location

Turner Gymnasium

Access Type

Campus Access Only

Start Date

4-17-2024 12:00 PM

End Date

4-17-2024 1:15 PM

College

College of Business

Department

Economics

Keywords

Medicare

Abstract

My thesis will focus on the accuracy of Medicare’s Hospital Insurance fund and Medicare Part C’s projections. Medicare has been under scrutiny in recent years, as costs are up and revenues are down, and a projected insolvency crisis looms above the organization. If Medicare’s projections are inaccurate, it could cause severe issues, as decisions that will significantly affect the program are made based on that data. In order to test the accuracy of the projections, a t-test will be used in order to determine if there is a significant difference between the actual yearly expenditures of both the Hospital Insurance fund and Part C, and the projected expenditures. If there is a significant difference between the sets of data and the actual values, it indicates that Medicare will have to change its systems of projection, which could lead the program into financial ruin.

Faculty Mentor(s)

Dr. Michael Schnur Dr. Eric Kyper Dr. Beth Savage

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Apr 17th, 12:00 PM Apr 17th, 1:15 PM

Medicare and Medicare Advantage, how accurate are their projections?

Turner Gymnasium

My thesis will focus on the accuracy of Medicare’s Hospital Insurance fund and Medicare Part C’s projections. Medicare has been under scrutiny in recent years, as costs are up and revenues are down, and a projected insolvency crisis looms above the organization. If Medicare’s projections are inaccurate, it could cause severe issues, as decisions that will significantly affect the program are made based on that data. In order to test the accuracy of the projections, a t-test will be used in order to determine if there is a significant difference between the actual yearly expenditures of both the Hospital Insurance fund and Part C, and the projected expenditures. If there is a significant difference between the sets of data and the actual values, it indicates that Medicare will have to change its systems of projection, which could lead the program into financial ruin.